It’s time to review the six automatic finalists. Without further ado, let’s start with…
FRANCE: “Voila” – Barbara Pravi. This ballad evoked the classic chanson style, which used to be the top genre in Eurovision back in the 1950s to early 1960s. It’s so classic chanson, it reminded many people of the queen of this style, Edith Piaf. The main concerns many fans originally had was that this would definitely win over the juries, but may not fare well in the televote. But then again, we had a recent sea shanty trend as reflected on the popularity of the “Wellerman” and Salvador Sobral’s 2017 win prove that there might be a path where older styles would win over the general public.
Everything about the song is so authentically French, it is interesting to note about Barbara’s ethnic background–her paternal grandparents were originally from Serbia, while her maternal grandfather is Persian. But I think the French don’t really care about ancestral origins and Barbara is regarded as French through-and-through.
It is very much a very sharp contrast from the previous year, were instead of a national selection, the French broadcaster decided to hire Swedish songwriterss with strong Eurovision track records (in particular, the writers of “Euphoria” and John Lundvik) to come up with a “winning” song. They then added inputs from 2016 artist Amir*1 with hopes that it would add that “French” flair. Despite a video set in the Eiffel Tower,, the original incarnation then called “The Best in Me” immediately was derided by the internet fandom for its lack of French flavor. Retooling the song to the more acoustic “Mon alliée (The Best in Me)” may probably improved matters a bit, but the threat of it equalling the last place finish of Twin Twin in 2014 loomed large. The only saving grace of this entry was the hunky sexy appeal of the singer, Tom Leeb.
*1 Amir was responsible for France’s best showing since 2002, placing 6th with “J’ai cherché [I’m searching]“
GERMANY: “I Don’t Feel Hate” – Jendrik. This entry polarizes listeners–some would be turned off by the 1920s Charleston style peppered throughout the song, alongside the tongue-in-cheek comedic tone. Others would find those very qualiteis charming and would appreciate Jendrik’s showmanship. It evokes the vibe of Stefan Raab‘s 2000 entry, “Hadde Wadde Dudde Da“, another novelty song that made Top Five that year. This year, Germany is taking a risk that can either win over fans or backfire miserably.
The previous year, they had a safer bet with the contempoary dance-pop number “Violent Thing” by Ben Dolic. It was highly regarded by many fans, and it looked like a Top 10 shoo-in, even making a play for the Top Five.
ITALY: “Zitti e buoni [Shut up and be quiet]” – Måneskin. Very few people would think of Italy as a hotbed for hard rock, but this band (who derived their name from the Danish word for the liquor moonshine) proved that this genre is very viable and popular in that country. This act has charisma in spades, most especially its guylinered lead singer and its ferocious female bassist. The song is also an engaging danceable headbanger, so duplicating Lordi‘s win 15 years ago is very possible.
The previous Sanremo Festival winner was “Fai rumore [Make noise]” by Diodato. This Beatlesque ballad became a pandemic anthem in Italy, as during lockdown many confined residents would blare this song out and sing along. If the contest was able to go through, this could also be a possible winner.
23 NETHERLANDS: “Birth of a New Age” – Jeangu Macrooy. Jeangu is actually from the nation of Suriname, and a recent regime change tere inspired this entry. So, one might wonder, why isn’t this entry dinged for political content unlike Belarus? What worked in this entry’s favor is that it doesn’t specifically refer to the event specifically, but rather it is expressed as a more universal theme of liberation. The Afro-centric beats and the use of the Pidgin language Srinan Tongo (the “Yu no man broko me” line in the chorus) may have polarized fans, but it makes for a fresh musical experience. No one’s expecting this to come close to Duncan Lawrence’s victory, but it makes for an interesting part of the diverse tapestry that is this contest.
The previous entry, “Grow”,was a more conventional R&B ballad, though instead of love themes, it’s more about personal growth. Though this number has its fans, I have a feeling it would’ve fared in the bottom five of the finals.
SPAIN: “Voy a quedarme [I will stay]” – Blas Canto. One thing that is undeniable is that Blas Canto is a terrific singer with a lovely high tenor voice. The only issue is that the material he was given is just too ordinary. Though this ballad resonates with Blas especially with his grandmother’s death due to COVID-19. The general public may not feel the same way as Blas, and hence this entry will continue to relegate Spain to the bottom 5 doldrums.
His previous entry, the atmosperic pop number “Universo [Universe]“, may also not be as highly regarded, but there may be a path for Spain to avoid the bottom five doldrums at that time.
UNITED KINGDOM: “Embers” – James Newman. When this brass-laden uptempo dance number was released, many fans found it very refreshing and are hopeful this is a path to emerge out of the bottom five doldrums. But then, when the staging was revealed, the too-on-the-nose horn props was considered a letdown that the doldrums is deemed likely to continue.
The previous entry “One Last Breath“, was a respectable dignified number, but it’s not as impactful as “Embers” could potentially be.
Now with the finalists known, here’s my forecast of the Top 10 finishers of this year’s contest:
TOP 10: CYPRUS, MALTA, SWITZERLAND, ICELAND, BULGARIA, LITHUANIA, FRANCE, ITALY, UKRAINE, SAN MARINO
BUBBLING UNDER: RUSSIA, GREECE, SERBIA, FINLAND, NORWAY, SWEDEN
As usual, who i thought would fare well and who I personally liked would differ. Here’s my list of personal favorites:
1) MALTA, 2) SWITZERLAND; 3) GREECE; 4) LITHUANIA; 5) ITALY; 6) SAN MARINO; 7) BULGARIA; 8) ROMANIA; 9) FINLAND; 10) UNITED KINGDOM
BUBBLING UNDER: IRELAND, ICELAND, CYPRUS, LATVIA, UKRAINE, FRANCE, ISRAEL, CZECH REPUBLIC, CROATIA, AZERBAIJAN, AUSTRALIA, SWEDEN. MOLDOVA
It seems there is no clear-cut favorite as winner this year. Right now it seems to be a seven-way battle among MALTA, SWITZERLAND, ICELAND, BULGARIA, FRANCE, ITALY, and UKRAINE. Which of them would prevail tonight?
JUST ME!
JOSEPH